Ethanol Market Share
There has been concern that Corn Ethanol cannot produce enough Ethanol to meet fuel demand in the U.S. and that its production increases the price of food. Although this is true, it does not mean that Cellulosic Ethanol technology is limited by the same economic factors as Corn, because Cellulose is a cropless source and oftentimes its by-products are not consumable. On the other hand, our Super-cellulosic™ method resolves the alternative fuel sufficiency dilemma with its economy being separate from food, and its production big enough to meet U.S. fuel demand using the resources available. (See Expected U.S. Annual Fuel Consumption and Annual Fuel Production tables in the National Renewable Fuel & Economic Recovery Proposal to Congress, which realistically proposes how this can be accomplished.)
Ethanol vehicle fuel has been in short supply or too expensive to produce, and that shortfall has kept America from embracing it as an alternative fuel. The U.S. consumes approximately 107.3 and 141.3 billion gallons of gasoline a year (James Hamilton, Daily Summer Demand Table). Even if sufficient ethanol mills existed, conventional processes using organic trash would only produce at the most 25.8 billion gallons of ethanol. Corn figuratively would produce 31.6 billion gallons if growers had similar amount of facilities, or 0.8 to 1.0 billion barrels. Based on economic limitations of their by-products, it is more likely that other cellulosic and corn mills would produce 20.9 and 16.1 billion gallons, only 19.5% and 15% of the market respectively. Ethanol’s fuel capability does not meet demand unless a more viable method of extraction is found.
Whereas, For Fuel Freedom’s process could potentially produce anywhere from 70.0 and 92.2 billion gallons. And, just because the overall Cellulosic Ethanol industry has lower fermentation yield than Corn, does not mean For Fuel Freedom’s process has the same fermentation limitations. For Fuel Freedom’s process works with any organic biomass, including double cropped corn stover, unusable wheat stalk, discarded cotton branches, and even municipal solid waste. Assuming 2,920 solid waste districts contained 6 mills each and processed an average of 1.27 million tons of organic solid waste annually, with the organics containing an average of 49.63% glucose and an average 17.28% decay rate, For Fuel Freedom would produce 2.1 to 2.9 billion barrels at 65.3% of the demand, at minimum. Upper limits on how much combined cellulosic material can practically be processed with current technologies with this invention is 4.3 times.
For Fuel Freedom made a discovery that resisted the conventional wisdom that one is only limited to the sugars inside plant cell tissue, and uses nearly 100% of the biomass. For Fuel Freedoms ’s formulated process is organic and utilizes Einstein’s theory of Capillary Action; there is no environmentally questionable acid needed. When microscopic "bugs" were found consuming 30 year-old newspaper in landfills, a proprietary organic substance was then discovered that forms a chain reaction breakdown that utilizes carbon dioxide polluted into the air and nearly 100% of the plant fibers, not just the cellulose. Unrecyclable paper, a food source for mold and insects, totals over 40% of total municipal solid waste and is a key renewable source for cellulosic technology.
A symbiotic relationship with bio-diesel production shaves off cost of production and also resolves other environmental concerns. Bio-diesel from algae can offset cost of primary process as well as producing oxygen to restore the ozone. Algae growth can be promoted by using the carbon dioxide gases captured from heating and fermentation sources, as well as using carbon-capture filtration systems on power plants. Algae on large-scale ponds can be scaled to operate 17.8 to 20.7 tons of mass per acre, in a solution between 5,000 to 5,800 gallons per acre. Algae will produce approximately 14.4237 gallons per day for each ton per acre, based on 60% oil extraction with carbon dioxide, and can grow 31.507041% additional mass per day. At 17.8 tons per acre, mass will increment to 23.4 tons, and can generate about 256 gallons oil for use in bio-diesel per day. Algae only provides this benefit in such quantity when using species of algae specifically or indigenously adapted to that specific climate.
For Fuel Freedom’s process is believed to be the most significant find in bio-fuel history. For Fuel Freedom’s proprietary system incorporates a proprietary blend of organisms for its enzymatic process, resulting in 143.5% more product than without. This Organic Hydrolysis™ process is carbon negative and produces almost 4.3 times as much ethanol as similar cellulosic processes, 2.3 times more than corn ethanol. (Our goal was 5 times in order to meet 100% of U.S. fuel demand, calculating energy equivalents of ethanol to gasoline.)
Simply stated, this Super-cellulosic™ process is economically sound because the system produces at a profit without an economic threshhold and has a positive energy balance of at least 8.65. This is unlike corn: it must sell its by-products to livestock in order to stay alive, its profits are governed by grain markets because its prices are regulated as a commodity, and with all the plowing, planting, irrigation, fertilizer, and harvesting, corn’s energy output over that expended is merely 1.3.
The following table shows why supply and demand concerns are unfounded when comparing production levels of our proprietary and patented process:
|
Production Assumptions
|
|
Quantity
|
Method
|
Barrels (42 Gal.)
|
Gallons
|
Liters
|
| 1.00 bushel |
Corn Ethanol |
0.04 |
1.48 |
5.60 |
| 1.00 ton |
Corn (†Approx. Ton) |
2.30 |
96.43 |
365.03 |
| 1.00 ton |
Cellulosic Ethanol |
1.78 |
74.60 |
282.39 |
| 1.00 ton |
For Fuel Freedom |
7.46 |
313.30 |
1,185.97 |
|
Potential Average Daily Fuel Output (Barrels)
|
|
Avg. Tons
|
|
Corn†
|
Cellulosic
|
For Fuel Freedom
|
| 613 |
Sm.Crop†/Avg.Landfill Tonnage |
1,407 |
1,089 |
4,573 |
| 3,062 |
Tons Avail In A Given Region |
7,030 |
5,439 |
22,841 |
| 1,087,445 |
Tons Readily Avail Nationally |
2,496,722 |
1,931,509 |
8,111,822 |
The following statements compares those annual production levels to average annual demand in the United States:
|
Annual Production Threshold Assumptions (Barrels)
|
|
|
Corn†
|
Cellulosic
|
For Fuel Freedom
|
15.0% of U.S. Avg. Demand (U.S. Corn Ethanol Threshold*) |
584,832,963 |
|
|
26.5% of U.S. Avg. Demand (Est. Cellulosic Ethanol Production**) |
|
1,033,204,901 |
|
86.7% of U.S. Avg. Demand (FFF Output***) |
|
|
3,365,908,646 |
Notes: Per industry analysis, whereby comparisons between production types reflect most-likely scenarios. *Corn growers are limited by location, economics, and other factors that limit expansion. **Cellulosic processes are limited by how much fermentation can be gotten out of its raw material and how many readily available renewable resources exist (as listed in Annual Fuel Production tables in the Addendum of the National Renewable Fuel & Economic Recovery Proposal). ***Factors in calculating For Fuel Freedom's production threshhold includes available renewable resources, market equalibrium algorithms based on these threshholds, and exportation of remaining fuel.
|